Friday, May 6, 2011

Scholarship To Study Medicine

The official account and the appropriation of popular

The other day I attended an interesting seminar cathartic Is Kirchner hegemony? UNCLE and organized by the Political Club Argentino, which distinguished intellectuals like Abraham or Sarlo exhibited a mixture of fascination, anger and confusion by idem. In one presentation, Carlos Fara had a sort of x-ray of the official account as an appropriation of public areas (rather than the interpretation of Fara interpret their own results, I prefer to refer the reader to his column on the subject ).

leave here, a selection of the slides presented.

The first two shows: (I) an appropriation of latent discourse (human rights, Mercosur) originally embodied (and, in the throes of economic crisis, resigned) by the Alfonsin, (ii) the explicitness of some open secrets (the complicity of the church The impact of media conglomerates), and mostly, (iii) the acceptance of so vague unverifiable propositions, which are assumed by the man in the street through repetition media.

For example, it is difficult to assess whether "Argentina is better than in the 90s" without setting any criteria, but in any case is not relevant technical aspect, but the fact that in times of growth is natural to prevail a "feeling" of well-being and improvement. (This is where the emphasis of the economist and political scientist differ in part, from me to defend the policies Menem, but I presume that older people felt that Argentina was better than in the 80s in 1996 but not in 2000.)

More still hard for the interviewee (and even for the professional economist!) consider whether "there are more industries in the 90s, though some standard measures of industrial output and employment expressed in previous posts on this blog suggest otherwise (which, turn does not seem to be a national problem but a regional). The same applies to terms like "production model" "Neoliberalism" or the exquisitely conspirativista "economic draft" significant gaps in the economic universe, if any.



In any case, the interesting thing is the discovery that the man in the street signs in this speech, but noted how the opposition is allowed to place across a speech undersigned expected The man in the street. This state of affairs arises from a combination of limitations and errors. For example, the flag of the Universal and Son who is wielding the Civic Coalition for years, was appropriated by the government and is now used in campaign against the CC and the rest of the opposition. If the government takes good, what opposition you just need to run it over the edge with 82% mobile or the use of reserves?

On the other hand, the opposition cross the group A was to write a clear example of political miscalculation that facilitated the government's rhetorical battle to present a single front-attack his skirmish line visible consisted of the defense oligopolistic media did not help.

The third graph is less surprising: people who subscribe to the official discourse (in many cases since before the rise of Kirchner) but would prefer other performers (Alfonsin Pino)-although this appears to be a weak argument for a candidate unless it is reappropriate the undamaged parts of your old address to propose something decidedly new.


The last figure suggests a change of theme seems to be a negative correlation between the "do not adhere to any party" and "adhere to the FPV", suggesting that indeed the large kirchnerismo feeds measure of cross-voting (which no other party has captured so far).

Wednesday, May 4, 2011

David Bridals 99 Dollar Sale

vs Argentina. Brazil: More photos of Latin American derby

In a comment to my previous post on the similarities macroeconomic performance in Argentina and Brazil, a colleague distiguido asked about the "long-term prospects: energy supply; complexity of development in either case, productivity / competitiveness of the financial system complexity, performance of the education system producing workmanship of high-level ability to be relevant in the world pragmatic adaptation possibilities of globalization (Dani Rodrik dixit). "

first thing to note is that the original column is intended primarily to flows (GDP growth) and, more generally, to evolution (changes in the distribution of income, changes in net debt.) In other words, said that Argentina and Brazil are the same (not) but to analyze how they have changed over the past decade. For example, the importance of Brazil in the world, was and will be greater than the effect of Argentina's economic size. And "pragmatic adaptation to the opportunities of globalization" would require a finer definition to be measured and compared.

But several of the important points raised by the colleague if they can be compared quantitatively. Let's see.

We can illustrate the power supply (I know I risk the wrath of the true experts in the field, mea culpa) with the series production of energy from World Bank (which makes different primary forms of energy: oil, gas, coal, electricity, etc., in equivalent units of oil, then divide by the product in dollars). Leaving aside the Argentine peak in 2002-2003 (reflecting the drop in output in dollars) for the period change is negative for both countries, but more for our neighbors.


To approximate the composition of exports, we can look at the evolution of manufacturing in total exports of goods, and the percentage of manufactured exports are considered high technological content of total manufacturing exports ( forgiveness is long, and impossible to write more melodic without losing accuracy). The greater complexity and diversity of Brazilian exports is known, but has been reduced in recent years (indicating that in a recent report attributed to the Dutch disease-both traditional and driven by financial capital inflows .) For its part, the ratio of manufacturing exports in Argentina is stable to more modest levels.



What about productivity, the fundamental basis of long-term competitiveness? Never becomes clear how comparable the estimates total factor productivity, generally taken as residue after measuring the growth of physical capital (machinery) and human capital (labor, weighted by education). But if we focus on the development, overcoming the setback of the 2001 crisis, Argentina does not seem to go back for Brazil.


Finally, I take the lñibertad to replace the tandem performance of the education system + production workforce of high-level "always hard to measure in a comparable way, the human development index of the UN . There, unlike the previous chart, it is Brazil that is reaching us from behind although the relative change is significantly lower.


These few graphics are far from answering the fundamental questions that of my colleague, desparramda on several variables, and my modest synthesis of him on the future possibilities and the existence of lagged effects backpack-policy mistakes. This post does not point only to whet the appetite for a debate on the model of regional development and economic impact of extra financial issues, issues that usually get lost in the election maelstrom, but eventually someone will have to address if we are to walking in the dark.

Sunday, May 1, 2011

Dongle Emulator Safenet Freeware

Not so different: Argentina & Brazil in the 2000s

column in El País on these two unlikely twins, in line with previous post , and with a general topic (which could be the title: Lessons from the Argentine case for the theory of development) which in my view still remains open pending a good analysis (or the reverse to validate the expectations of the skeptics). Debate.